2024 Election Polls Nate Silver. An average of 2024 presidential general election polls nationally and in each state, and how those. As of october 2024, nate silver’s models show that kamala harris has a slight lead over donald trump, but the.

What is nate silver’s latest prediction for the 2024 election? According to silver’s forecast, vice president kamala harris now has a 50 percent chance of winning the electoral college to former president donald trump ‘s 49.6 percent.