Allan Lichtman 2024 Keystone. Two prominent election prognosticators, allan lichtman and nate silver, clash over their methods and forecasts for the 2024 presidential race. Historian allan lichtman uses 13 keys to predict the outcome of elections without polling data.

Historian allan lichtman has correctly predicted 9 of the past 10 presidential elections using 13 historical factors. Allan lichtman, who correctly predicted trump’s win in 2016, uses his 13 historical factors or keys to forecast the 2024 presidential election.